Forecast through early next Week.

After all that rain we had yesterday, amounting to over an inch in most areas, clearing skies, light winds, and a nearly saturated lower level of the atmosphere, will allow for the development of fog, mainly in areas west of Fort Wayne, where skies have cleared longer and the wind is lighter.  I don't expect much fog around here this morning, except for a few patchy areas, and where it does form, it will be lighter, and not dense.  So far skies have cleared pretty nicely, as that wet rainstorm has marched off to the east, and intensified.  In fact, a rather large area of heavy snow has developed over most of Vermont, New York, New Hampshire, and Maine.  Some parts of these areas will pick up close to 10-15 inches of snow, while areas farther south will see 2 to 4 inches of rain, with embedded thunderstorms.  During the day today, expect temperatures to be warmer than yesterday, with highs in most areas reaching the lower 50's, under sunny skies.  After the storm system moves offshore, a ridge is forecasted to build into the area tonight, allowing for the continuation of clear skies and warm temperatures reflecting September and not November.  Tonight, more humid air will build into the region, along with the ridge bringing westerly winds aloft and clear skies, will allow for the formation of possibly dense fog tomorrow morning.  So beware, for those of you who travel on Thanksgiving Day, as tomorrow's fog will probably be widespread.  On Thanksgiving Day itself, temperatures will rise from the upper 30's in the morning hours to the mid fifties, making a very unseasonably warm day.  Light winds will continue on Thanksgiving, as the ridge moves quickly to the east, bringing southerly winds aloft.  This will allow for even warmer air to move into the region, and by Black Friday, temperatures could even hit the lower 60's.  At this point, I'm not actually sure if this will happen, because the sun is not strong enough to cause temperatures to rise into the lower 60's this time of year.  Second of all, if their is fog again Friday morning, I would not expect much warming until afternoon, allowing for temperatures to only hit the mid fifties.  By late afternoon and evening, increasing clouds will prevail, which will mean temperatures will not drop as much as they are forecasted to the night before.  By Saturday, I believe temperatures will hit the mid fifties, because the cloud cover will likely reduce any daytime heating.  Saturday afternoon, we could see some showers, but they will mainly be confined to areas west of Indiana.  By Saturday Night, showers and thunderstorms will be likely once again, possibly renewing the threat for heavy rainfall.  On Sunday, temperatures will fall into the mid 40's, as the low pressure system will move eastward, causing temperatures to fall and a decrease in rain chances.  By Monday, a secondary low pressure system forms and moves northward over the area, renewing rain chances but also drawing in cold air, as a large cut off low forms.  This will bring the chance for snow into the forecast.  In fact, a major winter storm is possible by next week around here, but because computer models can't seem to agree, I will refrain from making any forecasts on it until the models have come to a consensus.  After that, well, the computer models went haywire with the teleconnections that were supposed to go negative, so I really have no clue whether the cold weather will hit in December.  The GFS ensembles are still forecasting the NAO and the AO to take a nosedive into negative territory, finally allowing for cold air to dive into the United States.  Even if this doesn't happen, I still expect winter to be a mild one, mainly because all of that cold air is building up in Canada, and because of how much the polar ice caps are melting, they are allowing for warmer air to be trapped up north,  reinforcing the Greenland block, which is why I expect it to show up this winter for periods of time.  If the block doesn't show up until January, then expect even colder temperatures than originally forecast.  By February, I still expect this month to be our worst month in terms of cold and snow.  Stay tuned for further updates.