Official Weather Forecast through Saturday

Here is the official forecast for the area, based on MOS data, computer models, and current conditions and trends.

Tonight: Low 54.  Mostly cloudy in the evening, becoming overcast later.  A 80% chance of widespread rain, becoming more intermittent by morning.  Some heavier pockets of rain. 

Friday:  High 64. Cloudy, with showers and maybe a thunderstorm. Clouds decreasing in coverage by mid-afternoon.  Rain chances vary from 30% in western and central areas of Indiana to near 65% in areas east of Defiance, mainly in the morning hours. 

Friday Night: Low 45.  Mostly cloudy, becoming cloudier in the early morning hours.  slight chance of scattered showers.  Chance of rain 20%.

Saturday: Variable clouds, mainly mostly cloudy throughout the day.  Highs 65-67.  Chance of showers, maybe a thunderstorm.  Chance of rain 30%.

Saturday Night through Tuesday:  An upper level low will remain over the area, bringing a chance of showers and thunderstorms daily.  The biggest chance for rain and heavy rain will occur on Sunday and Monday, they could be widespread and heavy at times.  Rain clearing up by Wednesday.  Upper level low will leave the region by mid-late week. 

Long-term pattern: The troughing pattern will give way to a major ridge, as a trough builds into the west.  This will cause above normal temperatures in our area in the first week or so of October.

Nice Weather, Seasonably Warm Temperatures Before Major Heat Wave

   

As of 1:00 p.m. this afternoon, temperatures are very warm in the area, ranging from the upper 70's to the lower 80's in Northeast Indiana and Northwest Ohio.  Right here in Antwerp, the temperature is currently 80 degrees Fahrenheit under mostly sunny skies.

Fort Wayne - 77 degrees
Defiance - 77 degrees
Auburn - 77 degrees
Napoleon - 79 degrees
Paulding - 79 degrees

At the rate temperatures have been rising, I believe that temperatures could reach around 84 this afternoon in many areas, while some areas will only hit 82.  Tonight, lows will fall into the lower 60's area wide, with some towns and cities only dropping into the mid 60's.  Tomorrow, highs will reach the mid-80's with some isolated areas reaching temperatures around 87 or 88 degrees, as our winds shift from the northwest to the south-southwest by tomorrow which will pump very humid air into the region.  Lows Thursday Night will drop into the mid to upper 60's under partly cloudy skies with the possibility of a thunderstorm very early Friday morning due to a strong warm front ahead of this heat wave.  Temperatures on Friday will soar to near 94 degrees with extremely humid conditions.  Thunderstorm activity will be very little Friday afternoon, as a strong cap from the ridge will prevent any storms from forming.  Friday Night lows will be in the low to mid 70's with dew points near 71, bringing the possibility of fog.  On Saturday, temperatures will again approach 94 with even higher humidity values possible, bringing heat index temperatures over 100 degrees, which bring about the issuance of a Heat Advisory and possibly an Excessive Heat Warning.  On Saturday Night, thunderstorms will arrive in waves or clusters, which could cause flash flooding across the area. By Sunday, temperatures will drop from the 90's to the upper 80's, with the chance of thunderstorms, bringing a risk of flash flooding with them.  Independence Day could see temperatures near 90 again with a chance for thunderstorms due to the humid air.

Forecast Discussion

Saturday's Warm Temperatures