Has everyone enjoyed the gorgeous weather we've had over the past few days? Because I certainly have! Looking back through the archives of the weather from the past year or so, it appears that this has been the longest stretch of pleasant warm weather that we've seen since the beginning of 2014! It certainly is nice after the terribly harsh winter we had this year.
As of now, it looks as if this stretch of nice, warm weather will continue through the weekend before a humid, tropical air mass moves into the region, allowing for several days of high humidity and the possibility of thunderstorms. Each day will feature isolated to scattered thunderstorms with intervals of partly cloudy skies and sometimes even sunny conditions. This will make the afternoons feel uncomfortable, with nighttime conditions not feeling much better [lows will likely be in the mid-upper 60's]. By mid-week, a cold front out of Canada will likely side-sweep the area, bringing drier and cooler air to the region. This cooler period does not look to last too long with the return of warmer weather and humid conditions in the long-term period for the second-week of June.
Synopsis:
Here's the general synopsis of what's going on: a weak, upper-level circulation across the South is contributing to the very slow and weak development of an overarching ridge which stretches into Canada over the next few days. Once this weak upper level low breaks down, strong moist flow from the Gulf of Mexico will surge into the area, setting up the potential for several rounds of thunderstorms. For the first two days, likely Sunday and Monday, thunderstorms will be sparse and isolated. However, as the upper-level trough descending out of Canada approaches the area, there is the potential for more organized severe weather activity along the cold front.
The upper-level trough will approach the area, driving the cold front into the region by Tuesday and Wednesday. Thunderstorms will become numerous on Tuesday, with the possibility of severe weather given moderate instability and increasing deep-layer shear. At this time, however, severe weather does not appear to be a strong threat, but I will continue to monitor the possibility. The cold front will sideswipe the area by mid-late next week, bringing temperatures down to normal levels [after a few days in the mid-80's] and much drier conditions. However, the upper-level ridge will begin to quickly re-build into the region after this, bringing warmer and drier weather once again. This appears to be the general pattern that will continue to face the region through at least early-mid June.
More details on this later.
As of now, it looks as if this stretch of nice, warm weather will continue through the weekend before a humid, tropical air mass moves into the region, allowing for several days of high humidity and the possibility of thunderstorms. Each day will feature isolated to scattered thunderstorms with intervals of partly cloudy skies and sometimes even sunny conditions. This will make the afternoons feel uncomfortable, with nighttime conditions not feeling much better [lows will likely be in the mid-upper 60's]. By mid-week, a cold front out of Canada will likely side-sweep the area, bringing drier and cooler air to the region. This cooler period does not look to last too long with the return of warmer weather and humid conditions in the long-term period for the second-week of June.
Synopsis:
Here's the general synopsis of what's going on: a weak, upper-level circulation across the South is contributing to the very slow and weak development of an overarching ridge which stretches into Canada over the next few days. Once this weak upper level low breaks down, strong moist flow from the Gulf of Mexico will surge into the area, setting up the potential for several rounds of thunderstorms. For the first two days, likely Sunday and Monday, thunderstorms will be sparse and isolated. However, as the upper-level trough descending out of Canada approaches the area, there is the potential for more organized severe weather activity along the cold front.
The upper-level trough will approach the area, driving the cold front into the region by Tuesday and Wednesday. Thunderstorms will become numerous on Tuesday, with the possibility of severe weather given moderate instability and increasing deep-layer shear. At this time, however, severe weather does not appear to be a strong threat, but I will continue to monitor the possibility. The cold front will sideswipe the area by mid-late next week, bringing temperatures down to normal levels [after a few days in the mid-80's] and much drier conditions. However, the upper-level ridge will begin to quickly re-build into the region after this, bringing warmer and drier weather once again. This appears to be the general pattern that will continue to face the region through at least early-mid June.
More details on this later.
