Tomorrow's Thunderstorm Outlook

Weather Outlook for Tomorrow: I could not get a forecast for today out, but I can tell you that tomorrow will be very similar in terms of comfort and humidity... Currently, Fort Wayne International Airport (as of 3 p.m.) is recording a temperature of 86 with a dew point of 72, indicating a very humid and unstable air mass. This is supported by the fact that isolated showers and thunderstorms have developed to the southeast of Fort Wayne along a very weak and old frontal/convergent boundary (the boundary that was supporting an area of showers and thunderstorms earlier this morning across Michigan. Tomorrow's forecast will be very tricky, because it will depend on the timing a currently weak cold front over the Central Plains... A shortwave over southern Canada will ride southeast into the United States, intensifying the cold front and allowing it to slide eastward. As the cold front slides eastward, it will encounter a very humid and deep tropical air mass. The initial air mass ahead of the front will be quite dry, but several hundred miles ahead of the front, the air mass will still be moist and favorable for thunderstorm development.. Because of the initial dry air ahead of the front, I expect that thunderstorms will mainly be capable of producing damaging outflow wind gusts.. There is the possibility that these storms will organize into a linear line of storms by the time they begin affecting our area. I DO NOT believe that these storms will be widespread. In fact, they will be very isolated at first, and any line that does form will more than likely affect areas north of here in Southern Michigan.

For my official forecast, I expect high temperatures in the upper 80's to lower 90's tomorrow, with dew points in the lower 70's. Lows tonight and tomorrow will be in the upper 60's. For tomorrow night, I expect temperatures to drop into the middle 60's. As for the timing of any thunderstorm activity, though they will be widely scattered and isolated (at first, becoming organized by later in the evening, with areas mainly north of Route 6 having a better chance for storms to affect them), will be after 5 or 6...
Tomorrow, I should have an update on what I expect for the end of the week into next week.

Have a great afternoon!